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Home / Traffic / Predictions

📅 Traffic Predictions

When to avoid the roads — bank holidays, school breaks & busy weekends

🏃
📅 COMING UP NEXT
Great North Run
13 Sep – 13 Sep 2026 · Expected: traffic
🎆
New Year
1 Jan – 2 Jan
Moderate
⏰ Worst Hours12pm–5pm Jan 1
👥 Expected CrowdsLow–Medium
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Roads quiet in the morning as most recover from NYE. Traffic builds from midday as day-trippers head out. M25 and M1 busiest.
🏉
Six Nations Weekends
1 Feb – 16 Mar
Moderate
⏰ Worst HoursSat 10am-2pm, 6pm-10pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Cardiff (M4 J32-J29), Twickenham (M3/A316) and Murrayfield (M8) on match Saturdays. 70,000+ per fixture and the roads clear slowly afterwards — the evening exit is worse than the arrival.
🏔️
February Half Term
15 Feb – 23 Feb
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursFri 2pm–7pm, Sat 9am–1pm
👥 Expected CrowdsMedium
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Friday getaway traffic peaks from 2pm. M5 towards Devon/Cornwall heavy. M4 towards Wales busy. Saturday morning surge then quietens.
🏇
Cheltenham Festival
10 Mar – 14 Mar
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursTue-Fri 9am-12pm, 5pm-8pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: M5 J10-J11 and the A40 into Cheltenham are solid mornings and evenings all four days. 250,000 people across the week. If you use the M5 through Gloucestershire, travel before 8am or after 8pm.
💐
Mothering Sunday
14 Mar – 15 Mar
Moderate
⏰ Worst HoursSun 10am-1pm, 4pm-7pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: One of the busiest Sundays of the year for family visits and restaurant trips. Late morning out, early evening back. Garden centres and country pubs create local jams on A-roads.
🐣
Easter Weekend
28 Mar – 21 Apr
Extreme
⏰ Worst HoursThu 2pm–8pm, Fri 10am–6pm
👥 Expected CrowdsVery High
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: One of the busiest weekends of the year. Thursday afternoon getaway combined with regular commute is worst. Good Friday gridlock on M5 south, M6 north, M25. Travel before 8am or after 7pm.
🏁
Grand National Weekend
3 Apr – 5 Apr
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursSat 10am-2pm, 5pm-8pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Aintree brings 150,000 into north Liverpool. M57 and M58 are the pinch points, and the M6 north of J21 backs up with people heading in. Saturday is far worse than Thursday or Friday.
🌷
Early May Bank Holiday
3 May – 5 May
Very Busy
⏰ Worst HoursFri 1pm–7pm, Mon 2pm–7pm
👥 Expected CrowdsHigh
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Friday afternoon exodus and Monday return are equally bad. South coast routes (M3, M27) rammed. Avoid M25 J7–J16 on Friday.
FA Cup Final
16 May – 17 May
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursSat 11am-3pm, 6pm-9pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: 90,000 into Wembley. The A406 and M1 J1-J4 take the strain, and the post-match exit is slow for two hours. Applies to every major Wembley fixture, not just the final.
☀️
Late May Bank Holiday
24 May – 26 May
Very Busy
⏰ Worst HoursFri 12pm–7pm, Mon 1pm–6pm
👥 Expected CrowdsHigh
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Often coincides with first warm weekend. Coastal and countryside routes hammered. M5 junction 19–23 (Bristol area) notorious bottleneck.
🎩
Royal Ascot
16 Jun – 20 Jun
Moderate
⏰ Worst HoursTue-Sat 10am-1pm, 6pm-8pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: M4 J6-J10 and the M25 west side get busy each afternoon of the meeting. Ladies Day (Thursday) is the heaviest. Local Berkshire A-roads are worse than the motorways.
🎪
Glastonbury Festival
24 Jun – 30 Jun
Very Busy
⏰ Worst HoursWed 6am-6pm, Mon 6am-2pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: 200,000 people into one Somerset field. Wednesday arrivals and Monday departures are the worst — queues of several hours on the A37 and A39. The M5 south of Bristol and the A303 both feel it. Avoid the whole area if you can.
🎾
Wimbledon Fortnight
29 Jun – 12 Jul
Moderate
⏰ Worst HoursDaily 8am-11am, 6pm-9pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: The A3 and Wimbledon approaches for two full weeks, worst on the middle weekend and finals weekend. Residents-only parking pushes traffic onto surrounding roads.
🏎
Silverstone British GP
4 Jul – 6 Jul
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursFri-Sun 6am-11am, 4pm-8pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: 480,000 across the weekend. The A43 between the M1 and M40 is the main artery and it saturates early. Sunday race-day morning is the single worst window.
🌴
Summer Holidays Start
19 Jul – 27 Jul
Extreme
⏰ Worst HoursFri 11am–8pm, Sat 8am–2pm
👥 Expected CrowdsVery High
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Schools break up — worst travel day of summer. Airport routes (M25→Heathrow/Gatwick, M56→Manchester) gridlocked. A303 near Stonehenge nightmare. Travel early morning or late evening.
🏖️
August Bank Holiday
23 Aug – 25 Aug
Extreme
⏰ Worst HoursFri 11am–7pm, Mon 12pm–7pm
👥 Expected CrowdsVery High
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Last major summer getaway. Combines with festival traffic (Reading, Leeds, Notting Hill). Monday return journey brutal — leave before 10am or after 7pm.
🎉
Notting Hill Carnival
24 Aug – 25 Aug
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursSun-Mon 10am-8pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Wide road closures across west London for two days, with the A40 approach heavily affected. Falls on the August bank holiday weekend, so it stacks on top of getaway traffic. Public transport in, not the car.
🏃
Great North Run
13 Sep – 13 Sep
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursSun 7am-3pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: 60,000 runners and widespread closures across Newcastle and South Shields for most of the day. The Tyne bridges are shut. If you are in the North East that Sunday, plan around it entirely.
🎡
Goose Fair / Autumn Fairs
1 Oct – 5 Oct
Moderate
⏰ Worst HoursThu-Sun 4pm-10pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Nottingham Goose Fair and similar city fairs draw big evening crowds. Local approach roads only, but they lock up completely for a few hours each night.
🍂
October Half Term
25 Oct – 2 Nov
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursFri 2pm–7pm, Sat 9am–12pm
👥 Expected CrowdsMedium
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Moderate but noticeable. Theme park routes busy (M42 for NEC/Alton Towers corridor). Clocks change — watch for dark driving on return.
🎆
Bonfire Night
5 Nov – 5 Nov
Moderate
⏰ Worst Hours5pm-8pm, 9pm-11pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Short, sharp and local. Roads near organised displays jam for an hour before and an hour after. Rural A-roads see more animal-related incidents than usual — worth slowing down.
🌿
Remembrance Sunday
8 Nov – 9 Nov
Moderate
⏰ Worst HoursSun 9am-1pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Central London closures around Whitehall, plus town-centre closures nationwide for local services. Short, predictable, and heavily signposted — but it catches people out every year.
🎄
Christmas Markets
15 Nov – 22 Dec
Moderate
⏰ Worst HoursFri-Sun 11am-8pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Birmingham (A38 Queensway), Manchester (M60 J17-J19), York and Bath draw weekend crowds for five weeks. City-centre parking fills by late morning — park and ride is genuinely faster.
🛒
Black Friday Weekend
27 Nov – 30 Nov
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursFri 10am-7pm, Sat 10am-5pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Retail park and shopping centre approaches, not motorways in general. Trafford Centre (M60), Bluewater (A2/M25), Meadowhall (M1 J34) and the Bullring (A38) are the ones to avoid. Delivery vans add to it all week.
🎄
Christmas & New Year
20 Dec – 28 Dec
Extreme
⏰ Worst HoursDec 23 all day, Dec 27 12pm–6pm
👥 Expected CrowdsVery High
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Dec 23 (Frantic Friday) is often THE busiest single day on UK roads. Everyone heading home for Christmas simultaneously. Dec 27–28 return traffic heavy. M1 and M6 corridors worst.
🎁
Boxing Day Sales
26 Dec – 27 Dec
Busy
⏰ Worst HoursBoxing Day 8am-2pm
👥 Expected Crowds
🚧 Worst Roads
💡 Tip: Early starts for the sales, then Dec 27 is the return-home day for anyone who travelled for Christmas. Two different kinds of traffic on consecutive days.

🧠 General Tips for Busy Travel Days

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Travel early or late. Before 7am or after 7pm avoids the worst. The 10am–4pm window on getaway days is gridlock territory.
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Check before you go. Use our Route Checker to scan for live incidents along your route.
Fuel up the night before. Petrol station queues on getaway mornings add 15–20 minutes. Fill up the evening before.
🗺️
Have a plan B. Know an alternative route. If the M5 is jammed, can you use A-roads? Check our Live Map.
Plan service stops. Don't rely on finding somewhere. Check our Services Guide and know where you'll stop.
🔋
Check your car. Tyres, oil, coolant, lights. Breakdowns spike on bank holidays because people skip basic checks.

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📅 UK Traffic Predictions Planning a trip? Check when to avoid the roads for Great North Run and other busy periods. 👉 uktrafficupdates.uk/traffic/predictions/
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